tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Charlotte Amalie via Atlanta: arrives on time 54%

  1. 07:30 IAD → 09:44 ATL
    F9 4707 · Frontier · 2h 14m · 71% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 51m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:35 ATL → 15:20 STT
    DL 1889 · Delta · 3h 45m · 70% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 51m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip7h 50mIAD 07:30 to STT 15:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.