Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
New York → Chicago via Atlanta: arrives on time 52%
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13:00 JFK → 15:50 ATLF9 4731 · Frontier · 2h 50m · 67% on time, 1.7% cancelled
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2h 32m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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18:22 ATL → 19:52 ORDF9 1595 · Frontier · 2h 30m · 57% on time, 2.4% cancelled
Total trip 7h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 107 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 32m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip7h 52mJFK 13:00 to ORD 19:52, layover included
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.