tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Detroit via Atlanta: arrives on time 60%

  1. 06:15 RDU → 08:08 ATL
    F9 4797 · Frontier · 1h 53m · 81% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 32m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:40 ATL → 13:44 DTW
    F9 2898 · Frontier · 2h 04m · 65% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 167 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 32m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip7h 29mRDU 06:15 to DTW 13:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.