tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fort Lauderdale → New York via Atlanta: arrives on time 49%

  1. 06:05 FLL → 08:23 ATL
    F9 4873 · Frontier · 2h 18m · 72% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:21 ATL → 11:50 JFK
    F9 4732 · Frontier · 2h 29m · 74% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip5h 45mFLL 06:05 to JFK 11:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.