tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → San Francisco via Las Vegas: arrives on time 32%

  1. 12:47 DEN → 13:47 LAS
    F9 4967 · Frontier · 2h 01m · 72% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:34 LAS → 16:36 SFO
    F9 4401 · Frontier · 1h 53m · 52% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 1 h behind Denver). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection63%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 37% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (63%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip4h 40mDEN 12:47 to SFO 16:36, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.