tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Oakland via Denver: arrives on time 51%

  1. 07:00 DCA → 09:07 DEN
    F9 685 · Frontier · 4h 07m · 86% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 38m layover in Denver (DEN) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:45 DEN → 12:18 OAK
    WN 1577 · Southwest · 2h 32m · 66% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (Oakland is 3 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection79%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 21% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 38m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (79%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip8h 17mDCA 07:00 to OAK 12:18, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.