tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Tampa via Chicago: arrives on time 55%

  1. 13:22 BHM → 15:45 ORD
    UA 4168 · United, flown by GoJet · 2h 23m · 65% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 11m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:56 ORD → 21:49 TPA
    UA 1393 · United · 2h 53m · 62% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of Birmingham). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 86 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 11m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip7h 27mBHM 13:22 to TPA 21:49, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.