tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Houston via Chicago: arrives on time 70%

  1. 13:22 BHM → 15:45 ORD
    UA 4168 · United, flown by GoJet · 2h 23m · 65% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 00m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:45 ORD → 20:50 IAH
    UA 1954 · United · 3h 05m · 77% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 75 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 00m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip7h 28mBHM 13:22 to IAH 20:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.