tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Appleton → Las Vegas via Chicago: arrives on time 71%

  1. 12:24 ATW → 13:46 ORD
    UA 4170 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 22m · 88% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 08m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:54 ORD → 17:57 LAS
    UA 1875 · United · 4h 03m · 75% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 2 h behind Appleton). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 83 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 08m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip7h 33mATW 12:24 to LAS 17:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.