tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Nantucket via Washington: arrives on time 54%

  1. 11:00 EWR → 12:23 DCA
    UA 4172 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 23m · 72% on time, 3.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 17m layover in Washington (DCA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 15:40 DCA → 17:12 ACK
    B6 2494 · JetBlue · 1h 32m · 65% on time, 6.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 107 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 17m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (3.7% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (6.7% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip6h 12mEWR 11:00 to ACK 17:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.