tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Houston via Newark: arrives on time 45%

  1. 17:55 DCA → 19:28 EWR
    UA 4180 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 33m · 57% on time, 11.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 22m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:50 EWR → 23:43 IAH
    UA 2425 · United · 3h 53m · 75% on time, 3.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 37 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 22m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (11.4% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip6h 48mDCA 17:55 to IAH 23:43, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.