tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Austin via Newark: arrives on time 25%

  1. 17:55 DCA → 19:28 EWR
    UA 4180 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 33m · 57% on time, 11.4% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:26 EWR → 23:25 AUS
    UA 2645 · United · 3h 59m · 61% on time, 16.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection56%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 44% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time25%First flight not cancelled (11.4% are) × connection made (56%) × second flight not cancelled (16.2% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip6h 30mDCA 17:55 to AUS 23:25, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.