Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dayton → Chicago via Dulles: arrives on time 70%

  1. 10:23 DAY → 11:53 IAD
    UA 4181 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 30m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 22m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:15 IAD → 14:29 ORD
    UA 2331 · United · 2h 14m · 81% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Dayton). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 37 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 22m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip5h 06mDAY 10:23 to ORD 14:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.