tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Des Moines → Philadelphia via Chicago: arrives on time 38%

  1. 15:24 DSM → 17:04 ORD
    UA 4182 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 40m · 78% on time, 4.8% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:59 ORD → 21:19 PHL
    UA 1776 · United · 2h 20m · 61% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 1 h ahead of Des Moines). Times are local. Both flew on 5 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (4.8% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip4h 55mDSM 15:24 to PHL 21:19, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.