Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Omaha via Chicago: arrives on time 45%

  1. 08:00 STL → 09:35 ORD
    UA 4183 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 35m · 72% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:25 ORD → 12:16 OMA
    UA 5589 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 51m · 76% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip4h 16mSTL 08:00 to OMA 12:16, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.