Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Chicago via Dayton: arrives on time 83%

  1. 08:15 IAD → 09:48 DAY
    UA 4188 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 33m · 81% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 41m layover in Dayton (DAY) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:29 DAY → 12:54 ORD
    AA 3786 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 25m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Dulles). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 71 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 41m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (96%).
Total trip5h 39mIAD 08:15 to ORD 12:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.