tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → Denver via Chicago: arrives on time 51%

  1. 13:54 BUF → 14:55 ORD
    UA 4381 · United, flown by GoJet · 2h 01m · 73% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 22m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:17 ORD → 20:22 DEN
    UA 1974 · United · 3h 05m · 58% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind Buffalo). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 157 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 22m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip8h 28mBUF 13:54 to DEN 20:22, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.