Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Columbus → New York via Dulles: arrives on time 40%
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14:53 CMH → 16:22 IADUA 4387 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 29m · 69% on time, 5.4% cancelled
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53m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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17:15 IAD → 18:42 LGAUA 4077 · United, flown by Mesa · 1h 27m · 77% on time, 13.9% cancelled
Total trip 3h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection63%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 37% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (5.4% are) × connection made (63%) × second flight not cancelled (13.9% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip3h 49mCMH 14:53 to LGA 18:42, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.