tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Appleton → Atlanta via Chicago: arrives on time 39%

  1. 15:44 ATW → 17:05 ORD
    UA 4391 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 21m · 60% on time, 5.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:20 ORD → 21:41 ATL
    UA 1398 · United · 2h 21m · 58% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 1 h ahead of Appleton). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (5.4% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip4h 57mATW 15:44 to ATL 21:41, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.