tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Appleton → Charlotte via Chicago: arrives on time 29%

  1. 15:44 ATW → 17:05 ORD
    UA 4391 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 21m · 60% on time, 5.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:15 ORD → 21:29 CLT
    UA 1748 · United · 2h 14m · 43% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Charlotte is 1 h ahead of Appleton). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time29%First flight not cancelled (5.4% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (43%).
Total trip4h 45mATW 15:44 to CLT 21:29, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.