tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Columbus via Newark: arrives on time 34%

  1. 16:30 DCA → 18:03 EWR
    UA 4401 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 33m · 56% on time, 5.4% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:55 EWR → 20:57 CMH
    UA 3481 · United, flown by Republic · 2h 02m · 77% on time, 6.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection50%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 50% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (5.4% are) × connection made (50%) × second flight not cancelled (6.8% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip4h 27mDCA 16:30 to CMH 20:57, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.