Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Grand Rapids via Newark: arrives on time 49%

  1. 16:30 DCA → 18:03 EWR
    UA 4401 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 33m · 56% on time, 5.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 27m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:30 EWR → 21:50 GRR
    UA 3580 · United, flown by Republic · 2h 20m · 79% on time, 7.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 42 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 27m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (5.4% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (7.2% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip5h 20mDCA 16:30 to GRR 21:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.