Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Washington → Madison via Newark: arrives on time 37%
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16:30 DCA → 18:03 EWRUA 4401 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 33m · 56% on time, 5.4% cancelled
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56m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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18:59 EWR → 20:39 MSNUA 3620 · United, flown by Republic · 2h 40m · 80% on time, 8.9% cancelled
Total trip 5h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (Madison is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (5.4% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (8.9% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip5h 09mDCA 16:30 to MSN 20:39, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.