tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chattanooga → Dallas-Fort Worth via Newark: arrives on time 24%

  1. 17:58 CHA → 20:19 EWR
    UA 4413 · United, flown by GoJet · 2h 21m · 53% on time, 7.1% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:09 EWR → 23:59 DFW
    UA 424 · United · 3h 50m · 59% on time, 11.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Chattanooga). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection48%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 52% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time24%First flight not cancelled (7.1% are) × connection made (48%) × second flight not cancelled (11.1% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip7h 01mCHA 17:58 to DFW 23:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.