tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dayton → Washington via Chicago: arrives on time 75%

  1. 05:40 DAY → 05:55 ORD
    UA 4415 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 15m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 05m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 08:00 ORD → 10:59 DCA
    AA 2345 · American · 1h 59m · 77% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 05m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip5h 19mDAY 05:40 to DCA 10:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.