tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dayton → Philadelphia via Chicago: arrives on time 89%

  1. 05:40 DAY → 05:55 ORD
    UA 4415 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 15m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:15 ORD → 10:30 PHL
    UA 2038 · United · 2h 15m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time89%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip4h 50mDAY 05:40 to PHL 10:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.