tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Springfield → Atlanta via Chicago: arrives on time 60%

  1. 07:45 SGF → 09:40 ORD
    UA 4421 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 55m · 81% on time, 4.9% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:29 ORD → 13:44 ATL
    UA 2684 · United · 2h 15m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 1 h ahead of Springfield). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (4.9% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip4h 59mSGF 07:45 to ATL 13:44, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.