tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Springfield → Charlotte via Chicago: arrives on time 59%

  1. 07:45 SGF → 09:40 ORD
    UA 4421 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 55m · 81% on time, 4.9% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:26 ORD → 13:50 CLT
    UA 3450 · United, flown by Republic · 2h 24m · 89% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Charlotte is 1 h ahead of Springfield). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (4.9% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip5h 05mSGF 07:45 to CLT 13:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.