tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Minneapolis via Chicago: arrives on time 85%

  1. 07:20 STL → 09:00 ORD
    UA 4423 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 40m · 86% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 45m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:45 ORD → 13:27 MSP
    AA 3719 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 42m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 25 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 75 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 45m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip6h 07mSTL 07:20 to MSP 13:27, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.