tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Dulles via Richmond: arrives on time 86%

  1. 07:43 ORD → 11:02 RIC
    UA 4427 · United, flown by GoJet · 2h 19m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 58m layover in Richmond (RIC) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:00 RIC → 16:05 IAD
    UA 4549 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 05m · 92% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dulles is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 193 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 58m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip7h 22mORD 07:43 to IAD 16:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.