tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Raleigh/Durham via Washington: arrives on time 82%

  1. 06:30 EWR → 07:46 DCA
    UA 4437 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 16m · 84% on time, 3.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 38m layover in Washington (DCA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:24 DCA → 12:44 RDU
    AA 4700 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 20m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 128 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 38m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (3.1% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip6h 14mEWR 06:30 to RDU 12:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.