tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sioux Falls → Denver via Chicago: arrives on time 42%

  1. 15:07 FSD → 17:05 ORD
    UA 4441 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 58m · 70% on time, 8.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 12m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:17 ORD → 20:22 DEN
    UA 1974 · United · 3h 05m · 58% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 1 h behind Sioux Falls). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection81%The first flight arrived more than 27 minutes late on 19% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 12m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (8.3% are) × connection made (81%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip6h 15mFSD 15:07 to DEN 20:22, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.