tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Orlando via Chicago: arrives on time 34%

  1. 15:22 STL → 17:00 ORD
    UA 4452 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 38m · 63% on time, 5.4% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:56 ORD → 21:55 MCO
    UA 1382 · United · 2h 59m · 64% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 1 h ahead of St Louis). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection56%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 44% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (5.4% are) × connection made (56%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip5h 33mSTL 15:22 to MCO 21:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.