tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Fort Lauderdale via Chicago: arrives on time 37%

  1. 15:22 STL → 17:00 ORD
    UA 4452 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 38m · 63% on time, 5.4% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:59 ORD → 22:15 FLL
    UA 2294 · United · 3h 16m · 66% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fort Lauderdale is 1 h ahead of St Louis). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (5.4% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip5h 53mSTL 15:22 to FLL 22:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.