tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Cleveland via Chicago: arrives on time 25%

  1. 15:22 STL → 17:00 ORD
    UA 4452 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 38m · 63% on time, 5.4% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:50 ORD → 20:18 CLE
    UA 2652 · United · 1h 28m · 58% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 3h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (Cleveland is 1 h ahead of St Louis). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection46%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 54% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time25%First flight not cancelled (5.4% are) × connection made (46%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip3h 56mSTL 15:22 to CLE 20:18, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.