Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Dayton → Denver via Chicago: arrives on time 61%
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11:39 DAY → 12:05 ORDUA 4453 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 26m · 79% on time, 2.3% cancelled
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51m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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12:56 ORD → 14:46 DENUA 1150 · United · 2h 50m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled
Total trip 5h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind Dayton). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip5h 07mDAY 11:39 to DEN 14:46, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.