tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Springfield → Denver via Chicago: arrives on time 40%

  1. 15:07 SGF → 17:02 ORD
    UA 4466 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 55m · 65% on time, 5.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:17 ORD → 20:22 DEN
    UA 1974 · United · 3h 05m · 58% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 1 h behind Springfield). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (5.6% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip6h 15mSGF 15:07 to DEN 20:22, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.