tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nantucket → Washington via Newark: arrives on time 39%

  1. 10:13 ACK → 11:59 EWR
    UA 4489 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 46m · 92% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 31m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:30 EWR → 16:57 DCA
    UA 4486 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 27m · 42% on time, 4.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 23 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 166 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 31m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (4.7% are) and within 15 minutes (42%).
Total trip6h 44mACK 10:13 to DCA 16:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.