tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nantucket → Washington via Newark: arrives on time 34%

  1. 15:44 ACK → 17:30 EWR
    UA 4494 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 46m · 73% on time, 5.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 50m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:20 EWR → 21:53 DCA
    UA 4457 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 33m · 45% on time, 9.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 125 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 50m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (5.7% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (9.5% are) and within 15 minutes (45%).
Total trip6h 09mACK 15:44 to DCA 21:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.