tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Detroit via Richmond: arrives on time 89%

  1. 08:50 IAD → 09:55 RIC
    UA 4498 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 05m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 41m layover in Richmond (RIC) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:36 RIC → 14:21 DTW
    DL 3166 · Delta · 1h 45m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 71 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 41m layover.
Arrives on time89%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip5h 31mIAD 08:50 to DTW 14:21, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.