tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Springfield → Las Vegas via Chicago: arrives on time 64%

  1. 11:19 SGF → 13:12 ORD
    UA 4525 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 53m · 67% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 42m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:54 ORD → 17:57 LAS
    UA 1875 · United · 4h 03m · 75% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 2 h behind Springfield). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 117 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 42m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip8h 38mSGF 11:19 to LAS 17:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.