tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Little Rock → Washington via Chicago: arrives on time 52%

  1. 07:30 LIT → 09:42 ORD
    UA 4528 · United, flown by GoJet · 2h 12m · 85% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 4h 18m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:00 ORD → 17:12 DCA
    UA 1314 · United · 2h 12m · 56% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 8h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Little Rock). Times are local. Both flew on 20 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 213 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 18m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip8h 42mLIT 07:30 to DCA 17:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.