tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Sarasota/Bradenton via Newark: arrives on time 59%

  1. 15:10 DCA → 16:30 EWR
    UA 4560 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 22m · 64% on time, 8.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 39m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:09 EWR → 23:15 SRQ
    UA 1324 · United · 3h 06m · 72% on time, 3.7% cancelled

Total trip 8h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 174 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 39m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (8.3% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (3.7% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip8h 05mDCA 15:10 to SRQ 23:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.