tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Pittsburgh via Newark: arrives on time 48%

  1. 15:10 DCA → 16:30 EWR
    UA 4560 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 22m · 64% on time, 8.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:35 EWR → 19:13 PIT
    UA 3447 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 38m · 80% on time, 4.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (8.3% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (4.8% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip4h 03mDCA 15:10 to PIT 19:13, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.