Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Norfolk via Newark: arrives on time 50%

  1. 15:10 DCA → 16:30 EWR
    UA 4560 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 22m · 64% on time, 8.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:40 EWR → 19:22 ORF
    UA 3478 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 42m · 83% on time, 6.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 23 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (8.3% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (6.5% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip4h 12mDCA 15:10 to ORF 19:22, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.