tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Traverse City → Atlanta via Chicago: arrives on time 61%

  1. 12:15 TVC → 12:45 ORD
    UA 4562 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 30m · 77% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:55 ORD → 17:10 ATL
    UA 356 · United · 2h 15m · 75% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip4h 55mTVC 12:15 to ATL 17:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.