Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Grand Rapids → Washington via Chicago: arrives on time 37%

  1. 11:38 GRR → 11:58 ORD
    UA 4583 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 20m · 73% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:45 ORD → 15:52 DCA
    UA 752 · United · 2h 07m · 65% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 27 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection58%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 42% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (58%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip4h 14mGRR 11:38 to DCA 15:52, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.