tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Cleveland via Chicago: arrives on time 20%

  1. 18:55 STL → 20:24 ORD
    UA 4616 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 29m · 45% on time, 18.5% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:20 ORD → 23:49 CLE
    UA 457 · United · 1h 29m · 57% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 3h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Cleveland is 1 h ahead of St Louis). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection45%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 55% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time20%First flight not cancelled (18.5% are) × connection made (45%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip3h 54mSTL 18:55 to CLE 23:49, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.