tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Tulsa via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 32%

  1. 20:23 HOU → 21:50 DFW
    AA 3351 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 27m · 73% on time, 11.9% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:38 DFW → 23:47 TUL
    AA 531 · American · 1h 09m · 62% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 3h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (11.9% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip3h 24mHOU 20:23 to TUL 23:47, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.