Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Nashville → Memphis via Chicago: arrives on time 30%
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19:24 BNA → 21:21 ORDAA 3383 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 57m · 48% on time, 10.0% cancelled
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1h 09m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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22:30 ORD → 00:18 MEM +1 dayAA 3945 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 48m · 71% on time, 3.6% cancelled
Total trip 4h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection48%The first flight arrived more than 24 minutes late on 52% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 09m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (10.0% are) × connection made (48%) × second flight not cancelled (3.6% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip4h 54mBNA 19:24 to MEM 00:18, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.